As a matter of fact, GPT-5 is already performing worse than expected, and it's down in comparison with all the other models. I was reading an article shared by Kevin Indig by @cal newport, the guy behind "ddeep work," Where he shares an interesting point of view, which basically summarizes to "Is this it for AI?
Is this the maximum that we can achieve with AI?"
Have we actually hit a plateau, and we're thinking about it in two optimistic terms? It's not a $1T market, but it's a $50-$100B market.
This whole AI stuff. I'm not a skeptic, but I would align that I'm becoming more realistic in terms of what AI can and what AI cannot do.
There's a ton of corporate data that will under no circumstances leak into common LLMs/GPTs.
Like I've heard about penta-bytes of information that corporations own, and you know AI is not going to get access to them.
So probably we should prepare for a plateau in terms of AI and DIVINE INTERVENTION, MUAHHHHHah!
Full context here for those who like to read:
Cal Newport dares to ask the question: What if AI doesn't get much better than this?
If these moderate views of A.I. are right, then in the next few years A.I. tools will make steady but gradual advances. Many people will use A.I. on a regular but limited basis, whether to look up information or to speed up certain annoying tasks, such as summarizing a report or writing the rough draft of an event agenda. Certain fields, like programming and academia, will change dramatically. A minority of professions, such as voice acting and social-media copywriting, might essentially disappear. But A.I. may not massively disrupt the job market, and more hyperbolic ideas like superintelligence may come to seem unserious.
I recently asked Marcus and two other skeptics to predict the impact of generative A.I. on the economy in the coming years. “This is a fifty-billion-dollar market, not a trillion-dollar market,” Ed Zitron, a technology analyst who hosts the “Better Offline” podcast, told me. Marcus agreed: “A fifty-billion-dollar market, maybe a hundred.”
I will say that Chat GPT 5 disappoints me as well. This article persuades me on taking a slightly pessimistic view on AI.
https://lnkd.in/e_n8Qbq7